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‘We have seen it before…Gold is going to shine’: Why Anil Agarwal wants India to produce more gold – The Times of India

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‘We have seen it before…Gold is going to shine’: Why Anil Agarwal wants India to produce more gold – The Times of India


Anil Agarwal is confident about gold’s trajectory, citing predictions of prices surpassing $3,000 per ounce amidst global economic instability.

US President Donald Trump wants America to ‘Drill baby, drill’ for oil. In India Vedanta chairman Anil Agarwal has echoed a similar sentiment – but for gold! In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Anil Agarwal has expressed optimism about gold prices, and has said that this is the ‘best time for India to revive and revitalize its existing gold assets’
Anil Agarwal is confident about gold’s trajectory, citing predictions of prices surpassing $3,000 per ounce amidst global economic instability. The Vedanta chairman shared this in the post, highlighting the precious metal’s traditional role as a secure investment option and encouraged India to seize the opportunity.
“This is the best time for India to revive and revitalize its existing gold assets,” said Agarwal, talking about the stark contrast between India’s substantial imports of 800 tonnes annually and its minimal domestic production of just 1 tonne. He suggested that escalating prices would naturally attract investment towards local mining operations, making gold extraction economically feasible in shorter periods compared to new projects.
India continues to face challenges with substantial gold import expenses that impact its foreign exchange reserves. Despite possessing considerable unexplored gold deposits, the country’s production remains low due to administrative barriers, insufficient infrastructure, and historical policy constraints, according to an ET report.
Also Read | Gold prices at record high! Have yellow metal prices peaked? Check these 5 charts before putting more money in gold
Gold prices showed positive movement on Monday, with safe-haven demand strengthened by worries over US President Donald Trump’s anticipated reciprocal tariffs and possible Federal Reserve interest rate reductions this year.
According to the RBI’s Friday announcement, gold reserves rose by $66 million to $74.391 billion in the week ended March 14.
RBI has substantially increased its gold purchases, acquiring 72.6 tonnes in 2024, quadrupling its previous year’s procurement. The RBI’s gold holdings now stand at 876.18 tonnes (valued at $66.2 billion) as of December 2024. India ranks amongst leading central bank gold purchasers, following Poland and Turkey, amidst currency instability post Trump’s electoral victory.
The RBI has intensified its gold acquisitions to protect against currency fluctuations and revaluation risks, additionally using reserves to support the rupee against dollar movements. The 2024 gold acquisition marks the highest since 2021 and represents the second-largest volume since the RBI recommenced gold purchases in 2017.





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Electric two-wheeler maker Ather Energy sets IPO price band at ₹304-321/share

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Electric two-wheeler maker Ather Energy sets IPO price band at ₹304-321/share


Representative image
| Photo Credit: Reuters

Electric two-wheeler maker Ather Energy Ltd on Wednesday (April 23, 2025) said it has fixed a price band of ₹304 to ₹321 a piece for its ₹2,981 crore Initial Public Offering (IPO).

The issue will be open for public subscription from April 28 to April 30.

The bidding for anchor investors will open for a day on April 25, the company announced. This will be the first mainboard public issue of the current financial year (2025-26).

The IPO will be a combination of fresh issue of equity shares worth ₹2,626 crore, and an Offer-For-Sale (OFS) of 1.1 crore equity shares by promoters and other shareholders.

Ather intends to raise funds for the establishment of an electric two-wheeler factory in Maharashtra and for debt reduction. At the upper end of the price band, the IPO size is pegged at ₹2,981 crore, placing the company’s overall valuation at ₹11,956 crore.

This will be the second electric two-wheeler company looking to go public after Ola Electric Mobility floated its ₹6,145 crore IPO in August last year.

Ola Electric’s IPO had a fresh issue of up to ₹5,500 crore and an OFS of up to 8.5 crore equity shares.

Apart from its IPO plans, Ather Energy has also been expanding its research and development capabilities. Recently, the company announced the expansion of its R&D and testing capabilities at its product testing & validation centre.

The electric two-wheeler company has set aside 75% of the issue for qualified institutional buyers, 15% for non-institutional investors and the remaining 10% for retail investors.

Axis Capital, JM Financial, Nomura Financial Advisory and Securities (India), and HSBC Securities & Capital Markets are the IPO’s book-running lead managers. The equity shares of the company are expected to list on May 6 on the stock exchanges.



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World Bank lowers India’s FY26 growth forecast to 6.3%

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World Bank lowers India’s FY26 growth forecast to 6.3%


World Bank said that amid increasing uncertainty in the global economy, South Asia’s growth prospects have weakened, with projections downgraded in most countries in the region. File
| Photo Credit: Getty Images/iStockphoto

The World Bank on Wednesday (April 23, 2025) lowered India’s growth forecast for the current fiscal by 4 percentage points to 6.3% amid global economic weakness and policy uncertainty.

Editorial | Battle for growth: On India’s economic trajectory

In its previous estimate, the World Bank had projected India’s growth at 6.7% for the fiscal year 2025-26.

In India, growth in FY24/25 disappointed because of slower growth in private investment and public capital expenditures that did not meet government targets, the World Bank said in its twice-yearly regional outlook.

“In India, growth is expected to slow from 6.5% in FY24/25 to 6.3% as in FY25/26 as the benefits to private investment from monetary easing and regulatory streamlining are expected to be offset by global economic weakness and policy uncertainty,” said its South Asia Development Update, Taxing Times.

On Tuesday (April 22), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also lowered India’s GDP forecast for the current fiscal to 6.2% from its January estimates of 6.5%.

The World Bank report said the benefits to private investment from monetary easing and regulatory streamlining are expected to be offset by global economic weakness and policy uncertainty.

“Private consumption is expected to benefit from tax cuts, and the improving implementation of public investment plans should boost government investment, but export demand will be constrained by shifts in trade policy and slowing global growth,” it said.

Also read: India’s growth story over next two decades hinges on bold reforms, says FM Nirmala Sitharaman

It further said that amid increasing uncertainty in the global economy, South Asia’s growth prospects have weakened, with projections downgraded in most countries in the region.

Stepping up domestic revenue mobilisation could help the region strengthen fragile fiscal positions and increase resilience against future shocks, it said.

The Washington-headquartered multilateral agency has projected regional growth to slow to 5.8% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points below October projections before ticking up to 6.1% in 2026.

This outlook is subject to heightened risks, including from a highly uncertain global landscape, combined with domestic vulnerabilities, including constrained fiscal space.

“Although tax rates in South Asia are often above the average in developing economies, most tax revenues are lower. On average during 2019-23, government revenues in South Asia totalled 18% of GDP, below the 24% of GDP average for other developing economies,” it said.

Revenue shortfalls are particularly pronounced for consumption taxes but are also sizable for corporate and personal income taxes, the report said.

In Bangladesh, the report said the growth is expected to slow in FY24/25 to 3.3% amid political uncertainty and persistent financial challenges, and the growth rebound in FY25/26 has been downgraded to 4.9%.

For Pakistan, the World Bank said its economy continues to recover from a combination of natural disasters, external pressures, and inflation, and is expected to grow by 2.7% in FY24/25 and 3.1% in FY25/26.

In Sri Lanka, the government has made further progress with debt restructuring, and a projected rebound in investment and external demand is expected to lift growth in 2025 to 3.5% before it returns to 3.1% in 2026.



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Donald Trump’s tariffs: Why it could be a key manufacturing moment for India – Times of India

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Donald Trump’s tariffs: Why it could be a key manufacturing moment for India – Times of India


While the coming months will shape the future of global trade dynamics, the temporary suspension of US reciprocal tariffs provides India a unique window. (AI image)

By Kunal Chaudhary
The U.S. has announced a 90-day temporary pause on the imposition of the higher reciprocal tariffs on its trading partners. In a notable policy shift, the announcement came just hours after higher reciprocal tariffs had taken effect.While the temporary pause signals a potential softening of the tariff approach amid ongoing negotiations, the universal 10% base tariff on all imports will remain in place during this period. At the same time, the U.S increased tariffs on goods from China to 125%, citing China’s “lack of respect” after the country retaliated by announcing an 84% on U.S. imports.
The U.S. reciprocal tariffs on China are set to cause major disruptions to global supply chains, forcing American companies to explore alternative suppliers. This creates a significant opportunity for India to step up as a key trading partner, especially as trade conflicts with China continue. As global businesses look to further diversify their supply chains away from China, India has the chance to strategically position itself as a viable alternative, capitalizing on this shift to boost exports, attract investments, and enhance its manufacturing capabilities.
Electronics is one of the key sectors for India to gain with India’s exports valued at nearly USD 14 Bn. Electronics play a critical role in global trade, with countries like China dominating the exports landscape (i.e., with a market share of >30%). Though India’s export market share is in low single digits and steadily growing, the US’s 125% tariff on Chinese electronics imports, including smartphones, laptops, and other electronic devices, makes Indian manufactured products more competitive in the American market.Global brands such as Apple, which already use India as a key export hub, would likely increase production in the country to avoid higher costs associated with Chinese imports. This could lead to a surge in Indian exports of finished electronic devices and even components like batteries, circuit boards, and displays.
The additional demand for non-Chinese suppliers, also presents a unique opportunity for Indian Electronics manufacturers to expand and scale up operations and capture a larger share of the global market. India’s strategic initiatives such as the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes for smartphones, IT hardware, telecom products, and the newly introduced PLI for electronics component manufacturing, can collectively enhance India’s competitiveness by lowering cost barriers for exports.
As a strategic move, the Trump administration continued the exclusion of semiconductors from reciprocal tariffs, acknowledging their irreplaceable role. Semiconductors being crucial for national security and technological advancement, disrupting their supply could have led to significant implications.
The U.S. is actively promoting domestic semiconductor manufacturing through the U.S. CHIPS Act, which allocates $52 Bn for local semiconductor production. With significant investments already being made in new facilities and technologies by large chip makers of world like Intel & TSMC, exempting reciprocal tariffs supports this domestic growth strategy. Further, the current global semiconductor supply chain is deeply entrenched and complex, with maximum production already taking place in Taiwan & South Korea, disrupting this network would be challenging and relocating the existing capacity would take decades and investment of very large scale.
It is expected that the current pause offers a window for diplomatic engagement for initiating negotiations for trade agreements with the U.S. The pause in reciprocal tariffs aligns with India’s broader efforts to enhance US-India trade relations as both nations actively work towards a Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) aimed at doubling bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030. To maintain a strong position in global trade and further strengthen its role as an alternative global manufacturing hub, India can look to deepen economic cooperation with the US, forging strategic partnerships and collaborations with U.S.that promote mutual benefits, minimize reciprocal tariff and drive sustained long-term export growth.
While the coming months will shape the future of global trade dynamics, the temporary suspension of US reciprocal tariffs provides India a unique window to enhance its bilateral relations. By addressing existing challenges, improving market access to the US, and leveraging strategic initiatives like “Make in India,” India can position itself as a reliable global supplier and accelerate its economic growth trajectory.
(Kunal Chaudhary is Tax Partner, EY India. Vaibhav Anand, Director-Tax, EY India, also contributed to the article.)





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