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Effect of geopolitical risks on emerging economies will be felt harder in the second month: RBI study

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Effect of geopolitical risks on emerging economies will be felt harder in the second month: RBI study


The adverse effect of geo-political risks on the stock market, foreign exchange market and the credit spread of emerging economies is more pronounced in the second month following the risk, according to a study by the RBI in the Monetary Policy Report-2025

The authors of the study constructed an index called the Geo-political Risk (GPR) index to measure the changes in the such risks. They found that a 1 percentage point difference in the GPR leads to a 0.25 percentage point (pp) decline in stock markets, currencies depreciate by 0.16 percentage points and credit spreads decline by 1 percentage point. Credit spread is the difference between the benchmark government bond yield (which in India’s case is the 10-year bond with 6.55% yield as of April 9) and the bonds issued by corporates. Yield is the interest paid by the issuer of the bond to the holder.

While this is significant, the study found that the effects of a 1 pp increase in geopolitical risk lead to stock markets shedding gains by 0.64 pp, currencies depreciating 0.32 pp and credit spread worsening 1.2 pp. Even though the effect wears out eventually, “ the repeated occurrence of such geopolitical shocks that impinges on the economy with differential impact has lent a persistence to the turmoil and uncertainty, keeping the risks elevated,” the authors said in the study.



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Pune company loses Rs 6.5 crore in cyber fraud – Times of India

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Pune company loses Rs 6.5 crore in cyber fraud – Times of India



PUNE: Man-in-the-Middle (MitM) cyber frauds cheated a Pune-based firm, dealing in IT services and imports of dry fruits, out of Rs 6.5 crore on March 27.
MitM is a type of cyber fraud in which an attacker intercepts and relays communication between two parties, making it appear as if they are communicating directly.
As per the police complaint, the 39-year-old company director received an email on the company ID purportedly from a US firm he did business with about a payment request. He initiated the transaction believing the email request was legitimate. But later, when he contacted officials of the other firm, they denied receiving the amount. He checked the email he had received and discovered fraudsters had made two alterations – they changed one letter in the other firm’s email address and its bank account number.





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LIC to expedite claim settlements of Pahalgam terror victims

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Effect of geopolitical risks on emerging economies will be felt harder in the second month: RBI study


Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) on Thursday (April 24, 2025) announced that it will expedite claim settlements of Pahalgam terror attack victims in an effort to provide financial relief to their families.

Expressing deep grief over the death of innocent citizens in the terrorist attack, CEO and MD Siddharta Mohanty said LIC has decided to offer concessions to mitigate the hardships of the claimants.

In lieu of death certificates, any evidence in government records of death of the policyholder due to the terrorist attack or any compensation paid by the Union or State governments will be accepted as proof of death. All efforts will be taken to ensure that the claimants are reached out to and claims settled expeditiously to the affected families,” he said in a release.

For assistance, the claimants may contact the nearest LIC branch, division, or customer zones. They may also call LIC call centre at 022 68276827, the company said.

Insurance aggregator Policybazaar said it would like to offer a job to a family member in any of the Policybazaar or Paisabazaar offices located across India or sponsor a child’s education for every impacted Indian family in Pahalgam. “It is a very small gesture towards creating a social security cover for these families,” co-founder Alok Bansal said in a social media post.



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ACC Q4 profit declines 20.4% to ₹751 crore, revenue up 12.7% to ₹5,991 crore

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Effect of geopolitical risks on emerging economies will be felt harder in the second month: RBI study


Cement maker ACC Ltd on Wednesday (April 23, 2025) reported a 20.4% decline in consolidated net profit to ₹751.04 crore during the March quarter.

The company had posted a profit of ₹943.39 crore in the year-ago period, according to a regulatory filing from ACC, which is now a part of Adani Cement.

Its revenue from operations was at ₹5,991.67 crore, up 12.7% in the March quarter. It was at ₹5,316.75 crore in the corresponding period a year ago.

ACC’s total expenses in the March quarter were at ₹5,514,82 crore, up 13.11%.

During the March quarter, ACC’s revenue from the cement business was at ₹5,685.53 crore, up 11.14%.

During the quarter, ACC reported a sales volume of 11.9 million tonnes, reporting a growth of 14%, which, according to the Adani group firm is the “highest-ever sales volume in a quarter” for the company.

Similarly, its revenue from ready mix concrete was at ₹419.92 crore, up 32.12% in the March quarter.

The total income of ACC, which includes other income, was at ₹6,066.52 crore, up 12% in the March quarter of FY25. According to the company, this is the “highest-ever quarterly revenue”.

For the financial year ended on March 31, 2025, ACC’s net profit was at ₹2,402.27 crore, up 2.87%.

Similarly, in FY25, ACC’s total income was at ₹22,834.74 crore, up 11.65%. It was at ₹20,451.77 crore a year before.

Commenting on results, Whole-Time Director & CEO Vinod Bahety said, “This year has been marked by strategic milestones that reinforce our position as a leader in the Indian cement industry. Our capacity expansion initiatives, including the commissioning of new grinding units supported by debottlenecking and modernisation, are aligned with growing infrastructure and booming demand of the nation.”

The board of ACC has approved a dividend of ₹7.50 per equity share having a face value of ₹10 each fully paid-up for 2024-25, which, according to the company, is in the context of the ongoing capex and growth plans.

Over the outlook, ACC said, “The growth is anticipated to range of 7-8% for the coming fiscal, driven by ongoing consumption demand in the housing and infrastructure segments, as well as the favourable impact of the pro-infra and housing Budget 2025.”

Cement consumption grew 8% during Q4 FY25, marginally higher as compared to 7% in the previous quarter. The increase in demand was driven by a pick-up in construction activities, improvement in rural demand, traction in the real estate sector, and increased government spending on infrastructure and construction activities.

“As per the growth trends observed in Q3 and Q4 FY25, it is projected that cement demand during FY26 will continue to benefit from the momentum gained by government spending on infrastructure and construction activities,” it said.

Shares of ACC Ltd on Wednesday settled at ₹2,068 on the BSE, up 0.79% from the previous close.



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