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Why you must continue SIPs even as markets dip

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Why you must continue SIPs even as markets dip


You must have seen the awareness campaign of Mutual Funds Sahi Hai and SIPs Sahi Hai.

It is not just a campaign, but there is a rationale behind it. It is beneficial for you. The logic is, you are inculcating discipline. The money that otherwise may have been spent, is being invested for your future benefit. The other advantage is cost averaging. When markets are down and prices low, we psychologically tend to move away.

However, arguably, we should invest more when prices are down. When we continue our purchases in a disciplined manner, say every month, we are buying cheap, which leads to overall average cost of acquisition being relatively lower. This is called dollar cost averaging or rupee cost averaging.

Current situation

Markets have corrected. Nifty50 index, from its peak in September 2024 till March 13, has lost 14.6%. Nifty 500 index has lost 17.6% over the period.

Nifty Midcap 150 has lost more, 20.4%. Nifty Smallcap 250 has lost the most from September 2024 peak, 24.3%. However, SIP cancellations are moving up as well. In 2020, 1.25 crore SIP accounts were opened. By next year, 35% of those were closed. In 2021, 2.43 crore SIP accounts were opened, but by next year, 41% of those were closed. That is, number of accounts opened went up, but closure rate rose as well. In 2022, the number of accounts opened were 2.57 crore and closures by next year were 42%.

Year after, in 2023, number of accounts opened went up to 3.48 crore and closure rate by next year was up at 48%. To put it simply, half the SIP accounts opened in 2023 were closed by 2024.

This typically is a sign of lack of maturity from investors who have not seen market cycles over a long period of time. It is the nature of equity market to move in cycles, but over a long period of time, it delivers decent returns.

One of the reasons for SIP closure could be consolidation — instead of multiple SIP accounts, the investor may want to operate fewer accounts. That apart, it shows a short investment horizon; much shorter than what is optimally required for investment in the equity market.

Cost averaging

Let us look at the illustration of rupee cost averaging in three different market situations, with hypothetical data.

You have a SIP of ₹10,000 per month, from July to December 2024. The market level varies; accordingly, the NAV of your fund varies as well.

The number of units purchased is a function of the unit price or NAV: it is the amount i.e. ₹10,000 divided by ₹20 in July 2024. In July 2024, you acquire 500 units of your fund, at a price of ₹20.

In a flat market condition, the NAV fluctuates, but only so much. You acquire units every month at the given unit price. At the end of six months, you acquire 3,039.76 units, which is the total of the units acquired over six months.

Since you have invested ₹60,000 and at the end of six months you have 3039.76 units, the average cost of acquisition is ₹19.74. The crux of the matter is, this is lower than if you would have invested lump sum ₹60,000 in July 2024, when the price was ₹20.

In a bull market, the NAVs are higher since stock prices are moving up. Your average cost of acquisition is ₹60,000 divided by 2,622.66 units i.e. ₹22.88. Though the cost of acquisition is higher, investors do not mind. In a bull market, there is a feel-good factor around and investors are in a positive frame of mind.

In the bear market illustration, the NAV is coming down and you acquire a greater number of units. Your average cost of acquisition is ₹60,000 divided by 3,334.1 units i.e. ₹18.

To be noted, in a bear market, you acquire more units, but your value at the end is relatively lower. In December 2024, your value is 3334.1 units multiplied by ₹16.5 = ₹55,013.

In a bull market, you acquire lower number of units but your value at the end is relatively higher. In the bull phase illustration, your terminal value is 2,622.66 units multiplied by ₹25 = ₹65,567.

Conclusion

The purpose of a Systematic Investment Plan is disciplined investments, not trying to time the market. If you discontinue the SIP, you are defeating the very purpose of doing it. In the illustration, the higher number of units you acquire in the bear phase, will contribute to higher portfolio value in the next bull phase. Given that there is no structural issue about the growth of the Indian economy, market is correcting due to certain cyclical issues — you can take the right decision.

(Joydeep Sen is a corporate trainer (financial markets) and author)



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Dollar rebounds as Trump eases Fed tensions, signals trade thaw with China – Times of India

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Dollar rebounds as Trump eases Fed tensions, signals trade thaw with China – Times of India


The US dollar rebounded on Wednesday, climbing against major currencies after President Donald Trump eased tensions over the Federal Reserve and trade with China. The shift offered investors much-needed relief, with market sentiment buoyed by Trump’s decision not to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell and speculation that trade tariffs on Chinese goods could be reduced.
The greenback had been under pressure, lingering near three-year lows amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies and repeated criticism of the Federal Reserve. However, comments from both Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested a possible thaw in US-China relations and signalled a willingness to engage in deeper economic collaboration.
Trump, speaking from the Oval Office, said: “I have no intention of firing him,” referring to Powell. “I would like to see him be a little more active in terms of his idea to lower interest rates.” The remark came after days of speculation over the Fed’s independence, which had rattled investors and triggered volatility in global markets.
The dollar index rose 0.297% to 99.86 in early Asian trading, before stabilising as cautious optimism returned. The euro slipped 0.86% to $1.132, reversing gains made earlier in the week. Helen Given of Monex USA said the renewed dialogue with China was a key factor: “People are very relieved that there’s potential for discussions between the two countries.”
Bessent reinforced that message in Washington, suggesting any easing of tariffs would not be unilateral and would depend on progress in talks with Beijing. He also voiced strong criticism of the IMF and World Bank but affirmed US support for their roles, distancing the Trump administration from earlier proposals advocating a US withdrawal.
Meanwhile, Trump hinted at further tariffs if no deals were made. “If we don’t have a deal… we’re going to set the tariff,” he said. He also suggested auto tariffs on Canada could increase, despite existing exemptions under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
The markets responded positively. Dow futures jumped 1.9%, S&P 500 rose 2.6%, and Nasdaq gained 3% before the opening bell. Tech stocks surged, with Tesla up 7% after Elon Musk pledged to focus more on the company and less on Washington politics. Apple and Meta also rose sharply despite EU fines.





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U.S. tariffs could shave up to half a percentage point off India GDP, says Finance Secretary

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U.S. tariffs could shave up to half a percentage point off India GDP, says Finance Secretary


Ajay Seth, Finance Secretary.
| Photo Credit: ANI

The direct hit from tariffs introduced by Donald Trump’s administration on India could shave off between 0.2-0.5 percentage points from GDP growth, the country’s Finance Secretary Ajay Seth said on Wednesday (April 23, 2025).

“Now there is a sign of that…we grow about 6.5% in the current year,” said Mr. Seth, speaking at a Hudson Institute event on the sidelines of the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington.

“Second order (effects) would be important,” said Mr. Seth, referring to concerns that trade turmoil would slow global growth.

He added that he expected potential growth rate of around 7% could be achieved over the next decade, though India needed to expand its economy at a rate faster than that to achieve its ambitious longer-term targets.

Mr. Seth also said that the delegation from India was in town for further negotiations on trade with the U.S. administration, though he declined to giver further detail on what meetings were planned.



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ICAI to review Gensol and BluSmart financial statements – Times of India

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ICAI to review Gensol and BluSmart financial statements – Times of India


The Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) has decided to review the financial statements of Gensol Engineering Ltd and BluSmart Mobility Pvt Ltd for the financial year 2023–24, following serious allegations of financial misconduct and governance lapses involving the two companies.
The move was confirmed by ICAI president Charanjot Singh Nanda, who said the decision was taken during a board meeting of the Financial Reporting Review Board (FRRB) on Wednesday.
Nanda told PTI that the FRRB decided to undertake a review of the financial statements and the statutory auditor’s report of Gensol Engineering and BluSmart Mobility for the financial year 2023-24.
The FRRB’s mandate includes assessing compliance with accounting standards, standards on auditing, and schedules II and III of the Companies Act, 2013. It also evaluates adherence to various guidance notes and RBI-issued master directions.
Gensol Engineering recently came under regulatory scrutiny after the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) issued a market ban on the company’s promoters, Anmol Singh Jaggi and Puneet Singh Jaggi. The order, issued on April 15, alleged that the promoters siphoned off loan funds from the publicly-listed firm for personal gain, raising serious concerns about corporate governance and potential financial misconduct.
BluSmart Mobility, which operates a ride-hailing service, is also promoted by Anmol Singh Jaggi.
In case the FRRB identifies significant accounting irregularities during its review, the matter will be referred to ICAI’s Director Discipline for a detailed investigation. The findings may also be shared with relevant regulatory authorities.
Meanwhile, the ministry of corporate affairs said on April 21 that it will consider taking appropriate action against Gensol Engineering after examining Sebi’s order.
Under the Companies Act, 2013, the ministry has powers to act on corporate violations, which may include inspections by the Registrar of Companies or a probe by the Serious Fraud Investigation Office (SFIO) in more serious cases.





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